Model:

ECMWF: Global weather forecast model from the "European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts"

Updated:
4 times per day, from 00:00, 06:00, 12:00 and 18:00 UTC
Copyright:
This service is based on data and products of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
Source: https://www.ecmwf.int
Licence Statement:
This ECMWF data is published under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0).
Link: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

The maps produced by WeatherOnline are subject to the Terms and Conditions.
Disclaimer:
ECMWF does not accept any liability whatsoever for any error or omission in the data, their availability, or for any loss or damage arising from their use.
Greenwich Mean Time:
12:00 UTC = 14:00 SELČ
Resolution:
0.25° x 0.25°
Parametr:
Temperature at 2 metres above the ground
Vysvětlení:
Spaghetti plots:
are a method of viewing data from an ensemble forecast.
A meteorological variable e.g. pressure, temperature is drawn on a chart for a number of slightly different model runs from an ensemble. The model can then be stepped forward in time and the results compared and be used to gauge the amount of uncertainty in the forecast.
If there is good agreement and the contours follow a recognisable pattern through the sequence then the confidence in the forecast can be high, conversely if the pattern is chaotic i.e resembling a plate of spaghetti then confidence will be low. Ensemble members will generally diverge over time and spaghetti plots are quick way to see when this happens.

Spaghetti plot. (2009, July 7). In Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia. Retrieved 20:22, February 9, 2010, from http://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Spaghetti_plot&oldid=300824682
NWP:
Numerical weather prediction uses current weather conditions as input into mathematical models of the atmosphere to predict the weather. Although the first efforts to accomplish this were done in the 1920s, it wasn't until the advent of the computer and computer simulation that it was feasible to do in real-time. Manipulating the huge datasets and performing the complex calculations necessary to do this on a resolution fine enough to make the results useful requires the use of some of the most powerful supercomputers in the world. A number of forecast models, both global and regional in scale, are run to help create forecasts for nations worldwide. Use of model ensemble forecasts helps to define the forecast uncertainty and extend weather forecasting farther into the future than would otherwise be possible.

Wikipedia, Numerical weather prediction, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Numerical_weather_prediction(as of Feb. 9, 2010, 20:50 UTC).